̷ ý
ȯ ȮǼ 鼭 ̷ Ŀ, ̷ ߸ Ұɼ Ŀ. Ը ũ ̰ܳ ִٰ , Ը ũ ʴٴ ̴ ͻ̴. ڵ, Ƿ, 谡 , ̵, ǰ, 繫ǰ ̵ϰ ִ 4 ô뿡 Ը Ұɿ . , ȯ溯ȭ ش ִ ̴.
۷ι ̷ Ȱ ź Ȱ ϴ Ȱ ̳ ̴ ̷ Ȯ ̱⺸ٴ ɾȰ ִ ø ֱ ̴. ̷ κ(Rene Rohrbeck) ̷ Ȱ ˹(Initiator), (Strategist), ݴ(Opponent) ҷ Ȱ ִٰ Ͱ ƶ Ѵ. ο ⸦ ϰ, ⼺ ϰų, θ 信 ݱ⸦ µ ̿ ִٴ ̴.
ý ̳ͽ 縦 ̷ мϴ ⺻ ԵǾִ. پ ó Կ Ǵ ̷ ƴ ȭ 캼 ִ. ð ȭ 캼 ִ. 忡 , ȯ, ɸ 캸, ý ̳ͽ ̷ п ˾ƺ鼭 Ѵ.
б Ͽ. п öũƮ ڻ ѱǼ(KICT) ԻϿ. ̰ ö(KTX) ġ Ͽ. Ƭ̿ ȸ縦 âϿٰ , ҰǼȸ ٹϸ鼭 ī ֻ Ǽ Ʈ Ͽ. 쿬 ȸ űȹ Ͽ õû ȭ ȹ/Ͽ. Ѵ Ÿ о߷ پ 2005 ÷μ ߴ, й (Convergence) ϴ aSSIST(մп) Ͽ Ǿ ̴. aSSIST /л/ó Ͽ, IPS , ⰳ߿ GTX , ٸбȸ ο(ǿ) ȸ, ̷ȸ , ¿ ̻, 귣 ̻, ѱ´(KOICA) ڹ, ѱйȭ ̻ Ȱ Ͽ.
1 ̷ ϴ
1 4 ̷
1. ô
2. ڵ κ
3. Ƚý
4. ΰɰ
5. (Big Question)
2 ȯ
1. ȯ â
2.
3 (Big Question) ɸ
1. (Anchoring Trap)
2. ڱ (Overconfidence Trap)
3. (Recallibility Trap)
4. (Prudence Trap)
5. Ȯ (Confirming Evidence Trap)
4 ̷
1. (Delphi method)
2. ǻó (Futures Wheel)
3. м(Cross Impact Analysis)
4. ó(Scenario)
5. ̷ Ư¡
2 ̷ ý
1 ý(System)
1. ý
2. ǵ
3. ǵ , ǵ
4. ǵ
2 ý
1. ǵ
2. ǵ ð
3. ൿ
4. ּ
5. ĵ
6. ĵ
3 ý
1. ý
2. ý ̿ ã
3. ý ̿ ذå Ž
4. ý ̳ͽ ö
5. ý Ģ
4 پ ǵ ý
1. ϱ Ǵ (Exponential Growth or Decrease)
2. ð ִ (Balancing a Process with delay)
3. Ѱ(Limits to Growth)
4. ѱ(Shifting the Burden)
5. ǥ ȭ(Eroding Goals)
6. (Escalation)
7. ͺ ͺ(Success to the Successful)
8. (Tragedy of Commons)
9. ó (Fixed that Fail)
10. (Growth but under-investment)
5 ν, ð
3 ̷ ȭ
1 ȭ 1: Ƹٿ
1. õ
2. ο?
3. â ϱ(Thinking)
4.
5. ݵü ο
6. ȿ̶
7.
2 ȭ 2: ķ
1. ķ Ģ(Paretos Principle)
2. Ģ(Zipfs Law)
3. Լ(Power Law)
4. ٺũ- Ģ(Gutenberg-Richter Law)
5. 20:80
6. Ģ
7. 20:80
8.
9.
3 ȭ 3: α
1. α
2.
3. ̾߱
4 ȭ 4: 뼺
1. 뼺
2.
3. ȿ
4 ̷
1
1.
2. ̰
3.
4. ̰
5. з
2 ü
1. ()
2. ()
3. ɾ()
4. ()
3 νİ
5 ̷ ġ (Vibration)
1
1.
2.
3.
2
1.
2.
3.
4.